Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.442727 0.489182 0.539098 0.596829 0.661891 0.733096 0.817129
2025-07-20 0.370188 0.434856 0.509477 0.602416 0.715712 0.850151 1.022965
2025-07-27 0.329053 0.402637 0.491718 0.608442 0.758740 0.947635 1.205989
2025-08-03 0.298230 0.376942 0.475952 0.611128 0.793184 1.033207 1.379185
2025-08-10 0.275524 0.358010 0.465238 0.616947 0.829487 1.121867 1.563732
2025-08-17 0.250145 0.332599 0.442771 0.603406 0.836138 1.168227 1.691238
2025-08-24 0.235811 0.320491 0.436654 0.611011 0.872024 1.258113 1.891637
2025-08-31 0.220036 0.304842 0.423896 0.607244 0.889844 1.321631 2.057107
2025-09-07 0.208112 0.293586 0.416230 0.609790 0.916615 1.400363 2.255043
2025-09-14 0.194547 0.278842 0.402145 0.601017 0.924250 1.448466 2.405940
2025-09-21 0.183246 0.266616 0.390813 0.595316 0.935785 1.503242 2.573864
2025-09-28 0.169004 0.248978 0.369941 0.572603 0.916901 1.504186 2.643373
2025-10-05 0.162818 0.243510 0.367833 0.580578 0.951097 1.601462 2.907397
2025-10-12 0.156684 0.237727 0.364811 0.586746 0.982668 1.697278 3.181861
2025-10-19 0.151000 0.232254 0.361826 0.592561 1.013830 1.795076 3.473155
2025-10-26 0.145150 0.226119 0.357281 0.595166 1.039115 1.883951 3.757748
2025-11-02 0.140315 0.221337 0.354631 0.600808 1.070361 1.987331 4.088128
2025-11-09 0.132530 0.211169 0.342166 0.587678 1.064350 2.015148 4.252535
2025-11-16 0.128792 0.207640 0.340916 0.595053 1.098937 2.129667 4.634294
2025-11-23 0.123519 0.201170 0.334096 0.591400 1.111018 2.197769 4.914841
2025-11-30 0.119560 0.196762 0.330649 0.593869 1.135659 2.295327 5.282970
2025-12-07 0.114217 0.189638 0.321890 0.585362 1.136604 2.340300 5.523244
2025-12-14 0.109646 0.183662 0.314894 0.579834 1.143354 2.399017 5.808905